Is Justin Herbert Overrated or Just Undervalued
The Gifted Quarterback in a Results-Driven League

The NFL is a strange place. Talent is easy to spot, but respect? That comes and goes. Nobody shows that paradox more than Justin Herbert. On paper, he’s right there with the league’s best. Year after year, he puts up big-time numbers, throwing darts that make highlight reels every Sunday. But for some reason, the narrative around Herbert always feels colder than his stats.

Here’s the double standard: when Joe Burrow or Josh Allen fill up the box score in a loss, the blame usually shifts elsewhere — bad defense, missed coaching calls, injuries. When Herbert does the same? It’s “empty stats.” His production gets torn apart for what it doesn’t mean instead of what it does.

And of course, the playoff record is the big stain. Herbert’s 0–2 in the postseason, and both losses were brutal. The blown 27–0 lead against the Jaguars has become shorthand for his career criticism, and that four-interception meltdown against Houston didn’t help. In the NFL, January isn’t just playoff time — it’s judgment time. Until Herbert changes that story, the shadow of those games will stick.

Against the league’s heavyweights, it’s more of the same. He’s 3–7 against Patrick Mahomes, winless against Josh Allen, and his postseason résumé doesn’t come close to Burrow’s. It doesn’t matter that his efficiency and arm talent are elite — in the NFL, the only stat that really counts is wins.

And then there’s his personality. Herbert isn’t flashy, doesn’t trash talk, doesn’t feed the media viral moments. He’s calm, businesslike, and focused on football. That should be respected — but in today’s hot-take culture, it gets spun into “he doesn’t have fire” or “he’s not a leader.” Pair that with the Chargers’ reputation for dysfunction and a small fan base, and Herbert becomes an easy target.

The truth is simple: Herbert’s talent isn’t up for debate. But the NFL doesn’t crown you for talent — it crowns you for wins. Until he breaks through in the playoffs and takes down the league’s best, the hate isn’t going anywhere. The flip side? The moment he does, those same voices that doubt him now will call him elite. That’s the NFL cycle — harsh, reactionary, but quick to change once the scoreboard does.

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